@article{brundage2026frontieraiauditingrigorous,title={Frontier AI Auditing: Toward Rigorous Third-Party Assessment of Safety and Security Practices at Leading AI Companies},author={Brundage, Miles and Dreksler, Noemi and Homewood, Aidan and McGregor, Sean and Paskov, Patricia and Stosz, Conrad and Sastry, Girish and Cooper, A. Feder and Balston, George and Adler, Steven and Casper, Stephen and Anderljung, Markus and Werner, Grace and Mindermann, Soren and Mavroudis, Vasilios and Bucknall, Ben and Stix, Charlotte and Freund, Jonas and Pacchiardi, Lorenzo and Hernandez-Orallo, Jose and Pistillo, Matteo and Chen, Michael and Painter, Chris and Ball, Dean W. and O'Keefe, Cullen and Weil, Gabriel and Harack, Ben and Finley, Graeme and Hassan, Ryan and Emmons, Scott and Foster, Charles and Reuel, Anka and Treece, Bri and Bengio, Yoshua and Reti, Daniel and Bommasani, Rishi and Trout, Cristian and Shamsabadi, Ali Shahin and Dattani, Rajiv and Weller, Adrian and Trager, Robert and Sevilla, Jaime and Wagner, Lauren and Soder, Lisa and Ramakrishnan, Ketan and Papadatos, Henry and Murray, Malcolm and Tovcimak, Ryan},year={2026},eprint={2601.11699},archiveprefix={arXiv},primaryclass={cs.CY},url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.11699},}
2025
Paper
Toward Quantitative Modeling of Cybersecurity Risks Due to AI Misuse
Steve Barrett, Malcolm Murray, Otter Quarks, and 17 more authors
@article{barrett2025quantitativemodelingcybersecurityrisks,title={Toward Quantitative Modeling of Cybersecurity Risks Due to AI Misuse},author={Barrett, Steve and Murray, Malcolm and Quarks, Otter and Smith, Matthew and Kryś, Jakub and Campos, Siméon and Boria, Alejandro Tlaie and Touzet, Chloé and Hayrapet, Sevan and Heiding, Fred and Nevo, Omer and Swanda, Adam and Aguirre, Jair and Gershovich, Asher Brass and Clay, Eric and Fetterman, Ryan and Fritz, Mario and Juarez, Marc and Mavroudis, Vasilios and Papadatos, Henry},year={2025},eprint={2512.08864},archiveprefix={arXiv},primaryclass={cs.CY},url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.08864},}
Paper
A Methodology for Quantitative AI Risk Modeling
Malcolm Murray, Steve Barrett, Henry Papadatos, and 5 more authors
@article{murray2025methodologyquantitativeairisk,title={A Methodology for Quantitative AI Risk Modeling},author={Murray, Malcolm and Barrett, Steve and Papadatos, Henry and Quarks, Otter and Smith, Matt and Boria, Alejandro Tlaie and Touzet, Chloé and Campos, Siméon},year={2025},eprint={2512.08844},archiveprefix={arXiv},primaryclass={cs.CY},url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.08844},}
Paper
The Role of Risk Modeling in Advanced AI Risk Management
Chloé Touzet, Henry Papadatos, Malcolm Murray, and 6 more authors
@article{touzet2025roleriskmodelingadvanced,title={The Role of Risk Modeling in Advanced AI Risk Management},author={Touzet, Chloé and Papadatos, Henry and Murray, Malcolm and Quarks, Otter and Barrett, Steve and Boria, Alejandro Tlaie and Perrier, Elija and Smith, Matthew and Campos, Siméon},year={2025},eprint={2512.08723},archiveprefix={arXiv},primaryclass={cs.CY},url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.08723},}
Paper
Evaluating AI Companies’ Frontier Safety Frameworks: Methodology and Results
Lily Stelling, Malcolm Murray, Simeon Campos, and 1 more author
@article{stelling2025evaluatingaicompaniesfrontier,title={Evaluating AI Companies' Frontier Safety Frameworks: Methodology and Results},author={Stelling, Lily and Murray, Malcolm and Campos, Simeon and Papadatos, Henry},year={2025},eprint={2512.01166},archiveprefix={arXiv},primaryclass={cs.CY},url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.01166},}
Research Memo
Risk Tiers: Towards a Gold Standard for Advanced AI
Nicholas A. Caputo, Siméon Campos, Stephen Casper, and 12 more authors
@article{everitt2025evaluatinggoaldirectednesslargelanguage,title={Evaluating the Goal-Directedness of Large Language Models},author={Everitt, Tom and Garbacea, Cristina and Bellot, Alexis and Richens, Jonathan and Papadatos, Henry and Campos, Siméon and Shah, Rohin},year={2025},eprint={2504.11844},archiveprefix={arXiv},primaryclass={cs.AI},url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.11844},}
Paper
Mapping AI Benchmark Data to Quantitative Risk Estimates Through Expert Elicitation
Malcolm Murray*, Henry Papadatos*, Otter Quarks, and 2 more authors
@article{murray2025mappingaibenchmark,title={Mapping AI Benchmark Data to Quantitative Risk Estimates Through Expert Elicitation},author={Murray, Malcolm and Papadatos, Henry and Quarks, Otter and Gimenez, Pierre-François and Campos, Simeon},year={2025},eprint={2503.04299},archiveprefix={arXiv},primaryclass={cs.AI},url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.04299},}
Paper
A Frontier AI Risk Management Framework: Bridging the Gap Between Current AI Practices and Established Risk Management
Simeon Campos*, Henry Papadatos*, Fabien Roger, and 3 more authors
Conference on frontier AI safety frameworks (2024), 2025
@article{campos2025afrontierairisk,title={A Frontier AI Risk Management Framework: Bridging the Gap Between Current AI Practices and Established Risk Management},author={Campos, Simeon and Papadatos, Henry and Roger, Fabien and Touzet, Chloé and Quarks, Otter and Murray, Malcolm},year={2025},eprint={2502.06656},archiveprefix={arXiv},primaryclass={cs.AI},url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.06656},journal={Conference on frontier AI safety frameworks (2024)},}
2024
Report
Rating Frontier AI Developers’ Risk Management Maturity
Henry Papadatos, Simeon Campos, and Malcolm Murray